Lagos’ GDP Soars to $259B, Becomes Africa’s 2nd Largest City Economy

Lagos State has solidified its status as one of Africa’s top economic powerhouses, with its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reaching an impressive $259 billion based on Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). This milestone places Lagos as the second-largest city economy on the continent, following Cairo, Egypt.

The announcement was made during the official launch of the Lagos Economic Development Update (LEDU) 2025 on Wednesday. According to the report, Lagos State’s GDP stood at $259.75 billion in 2023, reinforcing its role as Nigeria’s commercial and financial hub.

Lagos Economic Growth in 2024

Lagos recorded significant economic growth in the first half of 2024, expanding to ₦27.38 trillion, up from ₦19.65 trillion in 2023. This strong performance underscores the state’s resilience amid economic reforms and ongoing infrastructure development.

Despite this expansion, Lagos’ tax-to-GDP ratio remains low at 2.3%, highlighting the need for improved revenue generation strategies.

Key Lagos 2025 Budget Projections

Looking ahead, Lagos State is poised for further economic expansion in 2025, with the following key projections:

• GDP Growth: Expected to increase from ₦54.77 trillion in 2024 to ₦66.47 trillion in 2025, with real GDP growth estimated between 5.02% and 6.49%.
• Sectoral Growth: The services sector will continue leading growth, supported by agriculture and industrial production. Stability in fuel prices and exchange rates is expected to enhance economic performance.
• Inflation Forecast: Headline inflation is projected at 34.2%, while food inflation may rise slightly to 34.9%.
• Revenue Projections: The Lagos State Government aims to generate ₦2.79 trillion in revenue for 2025, emphasizing fiscal discipline and revenue diversification.

Investment & Business Opportunities in Lagos

As Nigeria’s largest economy, Lagos remains a prime destination for investors, particularly in infrastructure, technology, real estate, and manufacturing. However, challenges such as inflation, forex volatility, and infrastructure gaps must be addressed to ensure long-term growth.

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Upcoming Changes: Nigeria’s GDP Rebasing

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is set to rebase Nigeria’s GDP in 2025, shifting the base year from 2010 to 2019. This update will enhance economic measurement by incorporating:

• Digital economy growth (e-commerce, fintech, and online services).
• Emerging industries (modular refineries, pension funds, and quarrying).
• Social sector activities (NHIS and NSITF programs).

Lagos’ economic trajectory remains strong, positioning it as a key player in Africa’s evolving financial landscape.